It should not be a surprise to any of our readers that the Singularity is approaching. Perhaps the term ‘Singularity’ is incorrect – we cannot be certain that, specifically, strong AI will be invented in the near future. But what is absolutely clear from even a cursory reading of any technology news site is the fact that technological progress is accelerating, inventions piling upon inventions at a speed that is heralding not merely an improvement in processing power or storage capacity, but a qualitative change in the way people live their lives and perceive themselves and the universe is clearly arriving. The confluence of these qualitative changes – a revolution in the way people live and even think – is what is commonly called ‘the Singularity’.
Now for the unpleasant news: if you are reading this article, it is most likely that the Singularity does not need you. That is to say: most of the people in the transhumanist movement – including myself – are not actually contributing meaningfully to bringing this future about as soon as possible.
And do not be mistaken – the future is not going to arrive by itself. It may be delayed by the actions of political luddites, or because of the vagaries of the economy, or for any other reason. The time-frame can alter from ten years to twenty or thirty. (The shipping container was delayed for decades by political interference).
And yet, as I said, most of us are not useful to the cause of advancing the future. This is not a typical call to the banner – I do not mean here to merely say that ordinary transhumanists are too lazy to work for bringing about progress, although perhaps some are. No, the problem I seek to identify is deeper and more terrible.
Think of it: In what way are most of us actually involved in bringing the future about? A small minority are actually involved in developing better AI technologies, building robots, or doing other things that will push humanity forward. Some are popular writers, or wealthy philanthropies giving millions of dollars to charities like SENS. But for the majority of us, there’s very little role to actually play.
Oh, of course, may of us bought copies of Ending Aging, or perhaps are watching Kurzweil’s lectures on TED. But how many of us contribute meaningfully? How many of us are, to use the military analogy, foot-soldiers in the struggle for the future?
Many of course do minor things that make them feel they’re part of the fight, but for the majority, we’re doing nothing. At best we’re writing short stories or drawing fan art of the beautiful future.
This not because we are lazy or stupid. It would be the height of presumption for me to accuse my fellow men of being lazy or complacent when I, myself, have done as little (and perhaps less then) them.
This is to say – we are doing nothing because there’s so very little to do. Transhumanism as a movement has so far generated few opportunities for men to help it. There are simply too few banners for the foot-soldiers of progress to gather under. There are few transhumanist activist organizations, few activist events, and even too few ideas for personal transhumanist activism.
This is almost self-evident (Google yields 338 search results for ‘transhumanist activist’ and 295 for ‘transhumanist activism’ – most dating back to the mid-2000s). And yet it is clear that transhumanist activism is needed. The future has many enemies, and for the future to win in our lifetimes, we must prepare to confront those enemies.
If we want to bring this future closer – if we do not want to die of old age two months before an aging cure is invented – then we must work, not even on defending the future, but on building the social structures that will enable us to defend it.
* image from http://mountainviewmarket.coop/news/blog/future-coming-join-discussion-futurists-saturday-co-op
September 28, 2014 at 3:50 pm
archived comments:
Well, one thing we can do is raise awareness of some of the near term possibilities here. Some anti-aging research is moving forward very quickly, and yet it’s badly underfunded and under-supported, by private individuals, by investors, and by and the government. Why? As far as I can tell, it’s because most people just don’t understand how close we are and how soon we could actually get some of these things. It’s just unbelievable that we may already have drugs that could extend everyone’s life (drugs in caloric restriction mimic family, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Caloric_restriction_mimetic), but we don’t actually know which ones of them work and which don’t because the biotech firms trying to do the research can’t get the funding to test them.
I mean, if people actually understood just how close we were, can you imagine how much investment money and government support would pour into drugs that can slow aging?
By Yosarian on Jan 21, 2013 at 6:39am
You are right. And While my scientific education is limited, I’m going to bet that similar situations exist in fields other than anti-aging.
By Boris on Jan 21, 2013 at 2:23pm
This piece ought to be posted at IEET,
for comments to ensue.
By Alan Brooks on Jan 21, 2013 at 8:02pm
boris i couldn’t agree more with the thrust of your article. transhumanism i feel is hitting a cieling of its own creation.
too much of trasnhumanism is foccussed on fantasy and as a result many important practical issues regarding our future are neglected because they don’t fit in the consistent immortality and enhancement themes of transhumanism.
some authors try to write on transhumanism and modern social themes, such as war, but come up short in their lack of treatment of the defficienies of transhumanism. i’m not sure so much that i am a transhumanist. i am a futurist and find that transhumanism has some interesting features in its conception. how can a technology oriented focus be integrated into a philosophical and social outlook. how to the normative concerns in each of these three areas ( our values ) balance with what we see as our predictions ( based on our best objective extrapolations from the past behavior of humanity in these three areas )
By zeev on Jan 23, 2013 at 8:21pm
Should we feel obligated to do our best to aid the singularity anyway? As little as we can help, shouldn’t help be the right thing to do? If it goes off wrong, bad things could happen, it should be monitored properly to prevent it falling into the wrong hands.
By Adam on Feb 05, 2013 at 7:31am
September 29, 2014 at 12:54 am
Two things to point out here:
One, dude, gender pronouns. It’s 2014, write like it.
Two, your title is super misleading. Yeah, I get it. It triggers the community to read the article by aluding to the lurking insecurity that no one does anything, but your main point isn’t that the future doesn’t need tranhumanists. It’s that you guys participate in a culture of armchair transhumanism, and the future doesn’t need that.
The future does need transhumanists. In fact, if you believe the people who write on this blog, the future will be transhuman. Therefore, the future needs transhumanists.
You are kicking around the same concept that the many new transhumanist thinkers and the Grinder community have been saying for years. The future doesn’t need armchair tranhumansim. We need doers.
Maybe it’s time to not be afraid to call a spade a spade. Glad you’re gettting on board.
September 29, 2014 at 5:30 am
Glims, I must say your comment brought a smile to my face… 🙂 I agree completely especially with the ‘doers’ comment. Talk is cheap…
September 29, 2014 at 10:54 am
I work at a large multinational with a lot of smart and educated people. Just as an experiment, I shared a few posts on Transhumanism. I was surprised to find out that not only do most people not know what transhumanism is, a large number had not even heard of Ray Kurzweil and there were even a few who didn’t know what Ted Talks was (yes, even in 2014).Sadly, most of the people around us are unaware of this transition. Its not that they are not interested. But when you become a slave to a routine, even important facts pass you by.
Talk maybe cheap but it also informs. It takes time to research and write a good, well-informed blogpost.We do need to build new social structures (as mentioned in the end of the post).But to do so , not only do we need to inform, but we also need to push forward a change in the general mindset. It is only when we do so that we can awaken the ‘doers’ and bring about the transition. We’re not going to get there alone and everyone brings something to the table.
September 29, 2014 at 3:34 pm
Would you say that the pushing forward of the genral mindset would be more action based or more passive?
I totally support the disemenation of information. And I guess you are right. I don’t disagree that everyone brings different things to the table. To stick with that analogy, some people cook, some people just eat. Some people talk about the food and write about that. Those who can, cook. Those who can’t, blog.
That isn’t to say that writing doesn’t take termendous time, effort, and skill. Just, in this particular frame of reference of moving the future forward, I believe the author is quite correct and that it might be a good time to re-evaluate the… scale and import of such efforts.We are running up against the wall of a “Let them eat data” type of situation…
September 29, 2014 at 3:36 pm
Sorry for all the spelling errors btw, using a new keyboard.
September 29, 2014 at 1:10 pm
There may not be a whole lot the average person can do at the moment, but that doesn’t mean things won’t change in the future. Just keep spreading the word about transhumanism and technological advances and there will be more opportunities to be more active in the future.
September 29, 2014 at 6:43 pm
a couple of points…
The common demographic does not have a real connection to or is aware of ‘transhumanism’ as a word. that is slowly changing through the use in popular culture such as in Dan Brown’s latest book albeit not in a good way or movies that are on topic.
That being said, spreading the word is great and certainly helps but action is what counts and if that is just writing articles or posts that is actually an action that is helpful to the movement.
From my standpoint I just realized I was a transhumanist come 6 years or so ago and found that i would ‘contribute’ to society but it would need to be controlled and calculated to make any real impact. Certainly only through actions that can be magnified can one person make a difference.
In my career I had spent a lot of time really building my career (i.e. lots of public speaking, writing books etc.) but I felt that for transhumanism it needed to be a broader strategy then targeting the 5 software engineers that now follow me…
Privately we created a non profit group called the ‘Foundation’ (see http://www.pratoriate.org ) and manipulated my travel schedule around flying around the world to meet people like Amon or Hank P.. As an organization we have not made a point to trying to be well known but made decisions based on impact. For example engineering a for profit enterprise to raise capitol where 5% of net corp proceeds are given to the Foundation in perpetuity. you can see some of those efforts on these two sites: (http://www.SpellTheGame.com and http://www.ParameterIO.com ) along with some grant applications that are in process now. One thing we saw was as a group we needed to find a way of presenting a unified front to the general population as the term becomes more popular and when Hank took this site back over some 3 months ago we stepped in to manage it and take over operations.
One thing people can do is help… we need lots of help… including articles but also word press experts and android and iOS developers.
Some of the work has been to build the new site and server (as we see now) plus new automation tools as well as news reader applications. So far only the Windows Phone and Windows 8 are complete but Android is in process as a mobile web RSS client. Plus other resources such as the singularity index which we will publish starting this week on the site etc. but really if you want to help,, write new content for the site, I’ll give you and account and even an email…
October 3, 2014 at 9:07 pm
That sounds great. How do I go about getting one of those? 🙂
October 4, 2014 at 5:20 pm
hmm… if I figure it out I’ll let you know. might have to ping the author… 🙂
October 5, 2014 at 1:43 pm
Ah no, I meant how do I get an account and write content for the site? You said you would be able to do that.
October 6, 2014 at 6:48 pm
oh yes so I can do that too. 🙂 ping me via email at admin@transhumanity.net
October 7, 2014 at 3:52 am
This brings up a valid point. Does the world need all of us? Honestly, no. Transhumanism is a movement where all of the hot buttons are going on without our intervention. That being said, such progress can be slowed by politics. So, transhumanism stands as a movement that could make a difference by speaking for the scientists that work with these hot buttons.
At the same time, we really need to tone down the fringe. That alienates potential activists.
October 7, 2014 at 7:10 pm
or alienates the general public… it should not be the fringe and in my opinion more transhumanists should go back to school and actually help make this stuff real. less talk and more action… 🙂